Showing posts with label ewu. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ewu. Show all posts

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Major European Indices Near End Of Secular Bear Market



As the three above charts show, returns on the big 3 European ETFs have been essentially zero for the past 15 years.  This is typical of a secular bear market, zero return with extreme volatility throughout.  I think the picture going forward will be quite different.

Germany (EWG) is pushing up on resistance established at the 2000 peak, the breakdown period in 2007-08 which lead to the global financial crisis and the 2011 peak established prior to the European Debt Crisis.  We could see some more sideways movement before finally moving higher but I think the lows are in.

France (EWQ) is sitting on major support established in 1998-99, 2006 and more recently in 2011.  The United Kingdom (EWU) has a similar chart.  Both are sitting on key Fibonacci retracement lines.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fibonacci_retracement